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| 表决系统Bayes可靠性评估及其仿真 |
| Simulation for Vote System Bayesian Reliability Assessment |
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| DOI：10.3969/j.issn.1671-5322.2003.04.006 |
| 中文关键词: 可靠性评估 表决系统 Bayes Monte-Carlo |
| 英文关键词: Reliability Assessment Vote System Bayesian Method Monte-Carlo |
| 基金项目: |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 提出了表决系统Bayes可靠性评估的数字仿真方法.依据表决系统组成的结构特点和系统Bayes可靠性评估的基本原理,在进行单元可靠性评估的基础上,分别运用Bayes MC、Bayes bootstrap和double Bayes MC方法进行系统可靠性评估.给出了表决系统Bayes可靠性评估的一般步骤.仿真实例表明了方法的可行性. |
| 英文摘要: |
| Simulation for vote system Bayesian assessment is discussed. The method is based on the structure of the vote system and Bayesian theory on reliability. The components’ posterior distribution of reliability can be obtained by the fusion of their aprior information. Three ways, including Bayesian Monte-Carlo, Bayesian bootstrap, Double Bayesian Monte-Carlo, are used in the simulation. Situations are considered respectively when the components’ distribution types are the same or different from each other. Steps to calculate their reliability are given. Examples proved the feasibility of the simulation. |
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