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灰色模型在负荷预测中的应用 |
Application of Gray Model in Power Load Forecasting |
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DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1671-5322.2007.01.013 |
中文关键词: 灰色模型 累加生成 累减生成 负荷预测 |
英文关键词: gray model accumulated generating inverse accumulated generating power load forecasting |
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中文摘要: |
电力负荷预测是电力控制及运行方面的最重要的一项任务.介绍了灰色理论的相关概念和原理,以及预测负荷的步骤,通过举例讨论了灰色模型在短期电力负荷预测中的应用,对平常日电力负荷进行预测,其结果令人满意,表明灰色模型是有效的负荷预测方法之一.灰色模型在日常负荷预测中广泛得到运用. |
英文摘要: |
Power load forecasting is the most important task in the power control and running.This article introduces the relative concepts and principles and the process of power load forecasting.By the example,it discusses about the application of gray model in power load short-term forecasting,analyses and forecasts the day load,and the results turns up trumps,which proves that the gray model is one of the effective methods of power load forecasting.The gray model is widely applied in the day power load forecasting. |
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